The Mideastwire Blog

Excerpts from the Arab and Iranian Media & Analysis of US Policy in the Region

IDF Dahiye Doctrine Author Comes To Terms With Strategic Balance Hezbollah & Allies Have Achieved

The most honest assessment I have read by an Israeli in a long time – and by the architect of the Dahiye Doctrine no less. Read this to understand Israeli’s bind and why “pre-emptive” war is coming and will be massively destructive… also remember it never should have come to this point.

Giora Eiland:

Last Friday, according to foreign sources, Israel attacked a military target in the Damascus airport once again. There seems to be a routine of Israeli strikes in Syria, which no longer interests anyone. The Syrians, Iran and Hezbollah don’t seem too excited by it either. Have they come to terms with the successful Israeli preventive measures? Are they failing to respond because the Israeli deterrence is still very effective? Is Russian pressure stopping them from acting? I’m afraid there may be a different explanation.

Our enemies are willing to occasionally sacrifice means or targets that Israel allegedly manages to destroy, but at the same time, they have found other ways to transfer the advanced weapons from Iran through Syria to Lebanon. This isn’t particularly complicated in light of three things: One, the Syria-Lebanon border is 300-kilometers long, and most of the area is tree-covered and mountainous; two, hundreds of trucks travel from Syria to Lebanon every day; three, there is no one between Tehran and Beirut who is interested in and capable of thwarting this activity.

There’s no escape from concluding, therefore, that despite the alleged Israeli thwarting operations, Hezbollah will continue building its power almost undisturbed. The Israeli activity is reportedly focused on an attempt to prevent Hezbollah from receiving or producing precision missiles. That is, undoubtedly, the preferred target. There is a huge difference between the damage potential of precision weapons and statistical weapons. Israel is a small country with a small number of vital sites and low redundancy. If power stations, airport, seaports, railway stations or hospitals are damaged in the next war, Israel will pay an almost unbearable price—in addition to hundreds of casualties…” READ ON,7340,L-5020144,00.html


Written by nickbiddlenoe

September 26, 2017 at 11:48 am

Posted in Uncategorized

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