On the attempt to establish an Emirate in Tunisia
After a day that saw a wild swing in government statements (no security forces were killed, then they will only count “Tunisians” and not separate out police etc, now we know at least 10 or more security force people were killed), the Tunisian PM is right here in talking about a strategy to fracture Tunisia with an emirate, but he is likely wrong to suggest 30 attackers represented the attempt to implement the plan today, and that it was defeated…
More likely is this was a probing attack – with more serious moves coming in the short term.
TUNIS: Tunisian Prime Minister Habib Essid said extremists who carried out a deadly attack Monday on a town near the Libyan border had planned to establish an ISIS “emirate.”
“The purpose of the attack was to disrupt the security situation in our country and establish a Daesh (ISIS) emirate in Ben Guerdane,” he said.
“But thanks to all the efforts, to the cooperation between our national army and our internal
My articles on this subject over the past year.
“Trouble in Tunisia”/Newsweek, November 2015
“It’s Not Springtime in Tunisia Anymore”/Tablet, March 2015
“Another Middle Eastern State Could Collapse, and More Cash and Weapons Won’t Save It”/Tablet, September 2015
“Why 60, 65 and 114 US-based experts are wrong in believing that more cash and weapons will help save Tunisia”/Mideastwire Blog, October 2015
“The Problem With Awarding the Nobel Peace Prize to Tunisia’s National Dialogue Quartet”/Tablet, October 2015