The next attack in Tunisia will likely target Tunisian civilians this time
I have a piece coming out this next weekend (delayed unfortunately!) on the situation in Tunis and the root problem, which has little to do with the supposed need for more cash or weapons.
In the meantime, all signs are pointing to the next attack targeting Tunisians and not, like the last two, specifically foreigners or the security forces.
The “smart” move by ISIS and others will be to sow civil strife, increase repression by a largely incompetent Security Sector and further damage an economy that is grossly inefficient and (partially therefore) especially susceptible to shocks: