The Mideastwire Blog

Excerpts from the Arab and Iranian Media & Analysis of US Policy in the Region

The big ?: How much longer can deeply corrupt Gulf Monarchies last beset by ISIS, AQ, Gen Sulieman?

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On December 10, the Qatari-owned Al-Quds al-Arabi daily carried the following lead editorial: “The 35th Gulf summit that was held in Doha yesterday resembles a meeting between six shipmasters, trying to determine the direction the ship should take in a highly troubled sea… And as it was said by the Prince of Qatar during the inauguration of the summit: “In light of the challenges and threats surrounding us from all sides, we should not be preoccupied by sideline disputes over details.” The Gulf Cooperation Council states are facing three main challenges: The American-Iranian negotiations over the nuclear file and beyond it, which will have direct repercussions on the region and particularly on the Gulf States; the greater challenge represented by terrorism and the expansion of the threat of the Islamic State organization; and the crises sweeping the neighboring states, namely Yemen.

“But the main predicament facing the Arab Gulf leaders who met yesterday is probably the adoption of one compass and one approach to face these challenges, a thing which appeared to be very difficult following the eruption of the Arab revolutions that led to fierce polarization inside the Gulf house… Now, after the recent reconciliation, the return of the Gulf ambassadors to the Qatari capital and the fulfillment of the quorum during the Gulf summit, the question is: Can the Gulf Cooperation Council resolve the predicaments surrounding this polarization that has cast its shadows over the military and political decisions, especially those related to Egypt among other Arab countries? Hopefully, the crisis that erupted between Gulf States will take a more rational turn with the rise of the threat of the Islamic State organization in Iraq and Syria and the formation of an undeclared objective alliance between the American administration and Iran to face that threat.

“These two developments have fueled the risks facing the Gulf States from two directions. But in addition to the dual threat represented by Al-Qa’idah and the Islamic State – along with the various sides operating under their wing – there is the Iranian threat, which features – under the banners of General Qassem Soleimani – an expansion by the Houthis in Yemen, a direct command over the battles of the Revolutionary Guard and the militias loyal to Tehran in Iraq, violent participation in the known bloody fronts in Syria and the deterioration of the situation in Lebanon, Bahrain and the Eastern regions in Saudi Arabia. On the day the Gulf leaders met, reports emerged about an attack that led to the death of a Bahraini citizen in a Shi’i villages west of the capital Manama, preceded by news about the death of a Jordanian policemen. The security authorities said both operations were “terrorist ones.”

“Moreover, on that same day, an Emirati court sentenced to death fifteen men accused of belonging to An-Nusra Front and Ahrar ash-Sham (both of which are operating in Syria)…, while the authorities arrested a few days ago an Emirati woman who carried out two terrorist operations. This coincided with stringent judicial sentences issued in Saudi Arabia against 135 people on similar charges. All these facts show that the security solutions alone cannot constitute a real roadmap capable of overcoming the major challenges facing the Gulf. Without a real reassessment of the policies that led to this major breach in the Gulf boat, Gulf-Arab reconciliation will not be fruitful and the Gulf ship will not reach a safe port.”

Written by nickbiddlenoe

December 10, 2014 at 6:59 pm

Posted in Uncategorized

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