The Mideastwire Blog

Excerpts from the Arab and Iranian Media & Analysis of US Policy in the Region

IDF’s Yaalon says Nasrallah was right about “Spider Web” analysis-back then

Very interesting that the IDF head Yaalon says Nasrallah was correct in his analysis of Israeli society – but in the 1990s and not the 2000s i.e. now, he argues. The problem is that Yaalon makes no convincing case as to why Israeli society is better prepared now as against the spider web thesis: He fails to omit the 2006 war with Hezbollah totally and he only mentions the ineffective hamas conflicts which of course never tested the thesis militarily or otherwise in an significant way, even on the level of the 2006 war which we all know will look like a parade compared to the next conflict.

He also talks extensively and angrily about the internal divisions – which he terms unprecedented…. isn’t this a main component of potential weakness going forward to the next conflict? He does not seem to make the connection and I am left unconvinced that he is sure about his rebut to the Spider web line.

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First of all, that the ‘spider web’ issue is no longer valid,” Ya’alon says, referring to a speech delivered by Hezbollah secretary-general Hassan Nasrallah in May 2000 in Bint Jbeil, Lebanon, two days after the IDF withdrew from South Lebanon. Nasrallah claimed at the time that Israeli society “is weaker than a spider web.” The defense minister says that the speech summed up the 1990s, but things have changed. “Before Operation Defensive Shield in 2002 and followed by the campaigns in Gaza and finally Operation Protective Edge, there’s a different attitude and different determination.”

He isn’t happy about the fact that the battle lasted 50 days. But Ya’alon says the Arabs learned that Israel, as opposed to some of their theories, is also capable of withstanding attrition. Its spirit doesn’t break and its economy doesn’t crash. It defends itself and exacts a heavy price from its rivals.

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Written by nickbiddlenoe

October 15, 2014 at 4:04 pm

Posted in Uncategorized

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