The Mideastwire Blog

Excerpts from the Arab and Iranian Media & Analysis of US Policy in the Region

Another Bold “new” WINEP suggestion for Syria (this one does not call for sparking a massive regional war right now): Recreate the fabulous Lebanon deal from the 1970s and 80s

David Pollock understands here – thank god – the basic error of having the Israelis arm a druze proxy force in souther syria…. but amazingly he fails to see how his WHOLE entire proposal is the same course his neo-con predecessors suggested AND disasterously took in Lebanon in the 1970s and 1980s. The only difference that makes his proposal now even more obtuse: he thinks supporting and doing a deal with “moderate opposition” elements – who are manifestly weak and divided on the ground even for their true allies to deal with! – will somehow be able to overcome not just one powerful enemy (Hizbullah, i.e. for pollack the PLO of arafat) BUT ALSO another powerful enemy aligned against Hizbullah – Jabhat An-Nusra.

So in his scheme, he has the Israelis doing more proxy scheming than it failed to do well in the 70s and 80s – but this time with even more powerful forces arrayed against it. Good Luck!

Also funny: he seems to think a good deal to some imaginary moderate Syrian rebel leadership involves ONLY a promise of not arming proxies (but in his scheme he assumes that Israel does NOT offer weapons to these “moderate” groups) in exchange for them doing something they dont want to do, that the US and others are proving powerless to compel them to do, and something they likely dont have the balance of power to do anyway!

Walla, when you read “ideas” like this over and over again for the last nine years you understand better how washington has made some of the same stupid mistakes over and over again. Very depressing.

One consolation – in a McCain presidency, these guys at WINEP would be in the white house making policy and starting disasterous wars. thankfully they are just well paid armchair warriors… for now.

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“The risk that Israeli retaliation for cross-border fire could spiral into a major skirmish, or even a larger Israeli intervention to set up a buffer zone in Syria, is real. To prevent it, the United States should broker a tacit agreement between Israel and moderate elements of the Syrian opposition.

Israel and the Syrian opposition don’t have much in common, but they do share some important mutual enemies, namely Hezbollah and Iran, both of which are fighting furiously to save Bashar al-Assad’s government.

This convergence of interests provides an opening for America to quietly strike a deal between Israel and the leadership of the Syrian opposition: Israel should agree to refrain from arming proxies inside Syria to protect its border; and the Syrian opposition should work to keep extremist groups like Hezbollah and Jabhat al-Nusra and other affiliates of Al Qaeda far away from the Israeli frontier. This would demonstrate the Syrian opposition’s bona fides to potential Western supporters and dissuade Israel from intervening or arming allies in Syria….”

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Written by nickbiddlenoe

April 16, 2013 at 10:30 am

Posted in Uncategorized

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