The Mideastwire Blog

Excerpts from the Arab and Iranian Media & Analysis of US Policy in the Region

TEPPERMAN is sure Hizbullah and Iran won’t defend the resistance axis triple alliance

JONATHAN TEPPERMAN wrote this a few weeks ago in the NYT, but it is symptomatic of the kind of analysis  made from comfortable offices worlds away. Look at the certainty. His supposition is just that…. no evidence except tautology for a broad assertion which most of us actually here would never make with such incredible confidence:

“Nor would intervening worsen the West’s confrontation with Iran, Syria’s one close ally. It’s inconceivable that Tehran, which is totally preoccupied with its own defense, would lend substantial military muscle to Syria’s government. Nor would Iran’s proxies, Hezbollah and Hamas, be likely to intervene. Both are populist movements whose supporters have far more sympathy for the Syrian rebels than the government. Hamas has already closed its Damascus office and denounced Mr. Assad. Hezbollah has been quieter and has refused to abandon its Syrian patrons, but it is ultimately most concerned with protecting its power and position in Lebanon. It is not likely to pick any fights that jeopardize that..”

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Written by nickbiddlenoe

April 7, 2012 at 8:43 pm

Posted in Uncategorized

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