The Mideastwire Blog

Excerpts from the Arab and Iranian Media & Analysis of US Policy in the Region

Reuel Marc Gerecht: Syrian Gang-Bangers bravely bang on

This piece by Gerecht is another piece incredible to read since folks like him had such a traumatic experience with their ideas in the Iraq war.

He perfectly captures the Syria Gang-Banger mentality: it will be EASY, terrible outcomes are NOT likely, even so-so outcomes are probably FINE. Hizbullah ONLY gets support from brainwashing and terrorizing alone.

Young and Grerecht assure us: this is “an easy call.” If only the Obama folks would not be such wimps.

Limosine Liberalism at its best.

HERE:

“…Such “prudence,” “restraint,” and “patience”—the administration is fond of these words—can be commendable when a situation is messy or murky. But neither applies in Syria. This is an easy call: We have a chance to eliminate one of America’s worst enemies in the region—the linchpin of Iran’s alliances and terrorist apparatus. We have a chance to traumatize Tehran: The world will look a lot more precarious to supreme leader Ali Khamenei and a lot more hopeful to the millions behind Iran’s pro-democracy Green Movement if Bashar al-Assad goes down. The importance of Syria to Iranian foreign policy and internal politics cannot be overstated.

Through Syria, we have a chance to convulse the politics of Lebanon, where Hezbollah, revolutionary Iran’s only Arab offspring, now reigns supreme. The organization does not own the majority Shia community of Lebanon; the potential political diversity of the Shia has been stymied by Hezbollah’s military and economic power, which depend on its ties to Damascus and Tehran. The Sunnis of Syria, some 75 percent of the population, have long chafed under the harsh rule of the Alawites, who are nearer 15 percent. Empowered, the Sunnis are unlikely to be nice to Hezbollah, which has run roughshod over Lebanon’s Sunnis, with their close, historic ties to Syria’s Sunni community.

If Assad falls, Hezbollah will have no choice but to hunker down and avoid any conflict with Israel.If even the most rudimentary, morally repugnant, Islamist-felicitous, Israeli-cursing democracy arose in Damascus, we still might see the Arab world realign decisively toward representative government…”

— How do these folks keep getting away with these facile pronouncements?

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Written by nickbiddlenoe

July 13, 2011 at 3:12 pm

Posted in ANALYSIS

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